High fertility in low fertility country (Caucasus case in Russia)

Irina E. Kalabikhina, Moscow State University

This study is connected with fertility analysis in one of the highest fertility region of Russia - Caucasus regions. The purpose of the study is to estimate the cohort fertility and tempo effect of sharp decreasing of fertility in this region in the 1990-th and to study some factors of differences in fertility. Data: Russian Census 2002 and Demographic Yearbooks. Methodology: the method of parity-progression table, and the Bongaarts-Feeney method (tempo adjusted fertility). The main results: period TFRs in the regions of Caucasus fell significantly in the framework of the sharp decreasing of fertility in Russia in the 1990-th. However cohorts fertility is still on reproductive level (or closely to it) in majority of Caucasus regions. The modern trends of period fertility in Caucasus Russian regions are the result of timing shift in fertility by significant way. The differentation of fertility inside Caucasus regions depends on type of settlement, and nationalities).