The impact of mortality and union dissolution on the household status of the elderly in Norway

Nico Keilman, University of Oslo
Solveig Christiansen, University of Oslo

We analyse the household status of elderly men and women in Norway in the future. A new trend is that persons aged 80+ are less likely to live alone in the future, and more often with a partner. The level of mortality, the mortality sex gap, and union dissolution at young and intermediate ages are important determinants. We use the macro simulation program LIPRO to simulate the household dynamics in Norway to 2050. Data sources are the Survey on Living Conditions (1998 to 2002 panel waves), the census of 2001, and forecasts of births, deaths, and net migration calculated by Statistics Norway.

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Presented in Session 49: Population Ageing and Living Arrangements: Estimations and Projections